RE: MD Let's Make a Deal

From: Erin Noonan (enoonan@kent.edu)
Date: Thu Jul 11 2002 - 02:41:52 BST


Hi Rick!
Wierd you emerged from lurkdome. I just searched and emailed friends that
smurf quote you once posted because it was related to what we were discussing.
Anyhoo from what I remember of analogous situations switching does not improve
your odds. With coin tosses if you get H-H-H-H-H it is still
fifty-fifty of you getting Tails.
I also think that people think their odds get better after losing
so many time at the lottery but that is a myth I believe.

my vote is number one,

erin
>
>Here's the Question:
>Does switching doors improve your odds of winning?
>
>Here's the Possibilities:
>1. Switching won't help. It's a 50/50 chance. Door #2 or Door #3.
Switching don't mean diddley.
>
>2. Switching will help. You started with 3 doors. 2 bad and 1 good. Odds
are, you picked a bad one to begin with. So odds are, if you switch, you're
switching to a good one.
>

>
>Can anyone crack this one for me? Does switching improve the odds?
>
>
>thanks,
>rick

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