Hi, Erin,
No, it is not a trick question...and it is a little more challenging than it
may seem at first.
Have fun,
Lawry
> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk
> [mailto:owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk]On Behalf Of Erin Noonan
> Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2002 10:23 AM
> To: moq_discuss@moq.org
> Subject: RE: MD A new puzzle...
>
>
> Is this a trick question or joke?
> It's mug one.
>
> :
> >
> >You have two mugs, equal in volume. Mug One is nearly filled with Coffee.
> >Mug Two is nearly filled with Milk. The volume of the milk equals that of
> >the coffee. You take one teaspoon of Milk from Mug Two and stir it
> >thoroughly into the Coffee in Mug One. You then take one teaspoon of the
> >liquid from Mug One and put it into Mug Two.
> >
> >Do you end up with more Coffee in Mug Two than Milk in Mug One, or vice
> >versa?
> >
> >Have fun.
> >
> >Lawry
> >
> >
> >> -----Original Message-----
> >> From: owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk
> >> [mailto:owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk]On Behalf Of Jonathan B. Marder
> >> Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2002 8:25 AM
> >> To: moq_discuss@moq.org
> >> Subject: RE: MD Let's Make a Deal
> >>
> >>
> >> Hi Rick, Erin, Glenn,
> >>
> >> I've been in a discussion on this before. The fact that Monty provides
> >> new information DOES change the statistics. You now know that
> door #1 is
> >> worthless, so the stats are as they would be if you knew that in the
> >> first place - it's 50/50 on door #2 vs. #3.
> >>
> >> The interesting thing about the previous debate I saw on this was that
> >> nobody could agree on the solution . . . until someone ran a
> simulation
> >> and confirmed empirically that the chance of guessing right is indeed
> >> 50%. So much for theory!
> >>
> >> Jonathan
> >>
> >>
> >> ---Original message from Rick [VALENCE] ---
> >>
> >> Here's the Setup:
> >> Imagine you're a contestant on Let's Make a Deal. Monty Hall calls
> >> you up to the stage and explains the game to you. He tells you there
> >> are three doors. Door #1. Door #2. And Door #3. Behind two of the
> >> doors (he won't tell you which of course) are worthless gag prizes, but
> >> behind the third is a valuable prize (for this group, we'll
> imagine it's
> >> an unlimited one-on-one Q&A with Robert Pirsig as he sails you down the
> >> Hudson River on the Arźte).
> >> Monty asks you choose a door... you pick door #2. Monty
> says, "Well
> >> it's a good thing you didn't pick door#1." Door#1 opens and
> you see one
> >> of the gag prizes revealed (let's say... a goat in a wheelbarrow).
> >> Now you're down to your chosen door (door#2) and the remaining door
> >> (door#3). Monty says, "I'll give you $100 to switch to door#3.... I'll
> >> give to $200...$300...etc...etc."
> >>
> >> Here's the Question:
> >> Does switching doors improve your odds of winning?
> >>
> >> Here's the Possibilities:
> >> 1. Switching won't help. It's a 50/50 chance. Door #2 or Door #3.
> >> Switching don't mean diddley.
> >>
> >> 2. Switching will help. You started with 3 doors. 2 bad and 1 good.
> >> Odds are, you picked a bad one to begin with. So odds are, if you
> >> switch, you're switching to a good one.
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> Can anyone crack this one for me? Does switching improve the odds?
> >>
> >>
> >> thanks,
> >> rick
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >> MOQ.ORG - http://www.moq.org
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> >> MD Queries - horse@darkstar.uk.net
> >>
> >> To unsubscribe from moq_discuss follow the instructions at:
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> >>
> >
> >
> >
> >MOQ.ORG - http://www.moq.org
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> >
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>
>
>
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>
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