RE: MD A new puzzle...

From: Joćo Correia da Silva (joao.silva@optimus.pt)
Date: Thu Jul 11 2002 - 15:28:07 BST


both mugs have same volume in the end.
so coffee in mug two equals milk in mug one.

-----Original Message-----
From: Erin Noonan [mailto:enoonan@kent.edu]
Sent: Quinta-feira, 11 de Julho de 2002 15:23
To: moq_discuss@moq.org
Subject: RE: MD A new puzzle...

Is this a trick question or joke?
It's mug one.

:
>
>You have two mugs, equal in volume. Mug One is nearly filled with Coffee.
>Mug Two is nearly filled with Milk. The volume of the milk equals that of
>the coffee. You take one teaspoon of Milk from Mug Two and stir it
>thoroughly into the Coffee in Mug One. You then take one teaspoon of the
>liquid from Mug One and put it into Mug Two.
>
>Do you end up with more Coffee in Mug Two than Milk in Mug One, or vice
>versa?
>
>Have fun.
>
>Lawry
>
>
>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk
>> [mailto:owner-moq_discuss@venus.co.uk]On Behalf Of Jonathan B. Marder
>> Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2002 8:25 AM
>> To: moq_discuss@moq.org
>> Subject: RE: MD Let's Make a Deal
>>
>>
>> Hi Rick, Erin, Glenn,
>>
>> I've been in a discussion on this before. The fact that Monty provides
>> new information DOES change the statistics. You now know that door #1 is
>> worthless, so the stats are as they would be if you knew that in the
>> first place - it's 50/50 on door #2 vs. #3.
>>
>> The interesting thing about the previous debate I saw on this was that
>> nobody could agree on the solution . . . until someone ran a simulation
>> and confirmed empirically that the chance of guessing right is indeed
>> 50%. So much for theory!
>>
>> Jonathan
>>
>>
>> ---Original message from Rick [VALENCE] ---
>>
>> Here's the Setup:
>> Imagine you're a contestant on Let's Make a Deal. Monty Hall calls
>> you up to the stage and explains the game to you. He tells you there
>> are three doors. Door #1. Door #2. And Door #3. Behind two of the
>> doors (he won't tell you which of course) are worthless gag prizes, but
>> behind the third is a valuable prize (for this group, we'll imagine it's
>> an unlimited one-on-one Q&A with Robert Pirsig as he sails you down the
>> Hudson River on the Arźte).
>> Monty asks you choose a door... you pick door #2. Monty says, "Well
>> it's a good thing you didn't pick door#1." Door#1 opens and you see one
>> of the gag prizes revealed (let's say... a goat in a wheelbarrow).
>> Now you're down to your chosen door (door#2) and the remaining door
>> (door#3). Monty says, "I'll give you $100 to switch to door#3.... I'll
>> give to $200...$300...etc...etc."
>>
>> Here's the Question:
>> Does switching doors improve your odds of winning?
>>
>> Here's the Possibilities:
>> 1. Switching won't help. It's a 50/50 chance. Door #2 or Door #3.
>> Switching don't mean diddley.
>>
>> 2. Switching will help. You started with 3 doors. 2 bad and 1 good.
>> Odds are, you picked a bad one to begin with. So odds are, if you
>> switch, you're switching to a good one.
>>
>>
>>
>> Can anyone crack this one for me? Does switching improve the odds?
>>
>>
>> thanks,
>> rick
>>
>>
>>
>> MOQ.ORG - http://www.moq.org
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>>
>> To unsubscribe from moq_discuss follow the instructions at:
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>>
>
>
>
>MOQ.ORG - http://www.moq.org
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>MD Queries - horse@darkstar.uk.net
>
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