RE: MD Let's Make a Deal

From: Erin Noonan (enoonan@kent.edu)
Date: Thu Jul 11 2002 - 06:45:24 BST


GLENN: When you choose door 57, you have to admit that you probably have it
wrong.>Nothing Monty subsequently reveals to you will change that, because you
>made the choice when you had less information. Monty then
>opens 98 doors showing booby prizes, purposely avoiding revealing the
>one with the good prize. So when only doors 57 and 66 remain, you can be
>nearly assured that 66 is the winner.

ERIN: ooohhh now I see your reasoning and it makes sense. But I
am still curious to how the probability is calculated.
So you are saying these events are not independent like the coin
toss....so how do you calculate the probability of nonindependent
events.

I will respond to your teleology thing tommorrow because just
about to go to bed

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